Climate suitability for light outdoor activities

Indicator	[average pondered Tourism Climate Index score for spring, summer and fall]
Range	[-%]
Control for	DEMAND: Changes in tourists flow (+)
Influence on vulnerability	The higher the score, the higher the future climate suitability, the higher the attractiveness for light outdoor activity, and therefore the lower the exposure
Trend	Linear ↓
Data source	PESETA Project (Amelung and Moreno 2009). Data kindly provided by Amelung (personal communication)
Remarks	PESETA: PRUDENCE data: A2 and B2 IPCC SRES scenario storyline (IPCC 2007): HIRHAM model, driven by the HadAM3 GCM, and the RCA model, driven by the ECHAM4 GCM. 50 km resolution. Calculations are still approximate here. In a second step, if time is available, better calculations (using the ENSEMBLES data) will be carried out. Then, the average future number of months per year with very good conditions or better (TCI > 70) for light outdoor activities in 2050 will be calculated instead. Personal calculation: ENSEMBLES data: A1B IPCC SRES5 scenario storyline (IPCC 2007) and four Regional and General Climate Models couplings 25 km resolution
Image	[IMAGE [ADD IMAGE - ©]]

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